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☆ Welcome to the (almost) red-hot bond market
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

When Treasury yields go up, so do mortgage rates; when they go down, mortgage rates tend to follow. Surging mortgage rates over the past few years have sent home loan applications and home sales down sharply. The 30-year fixed rate mortgage was also advancing towards 8% — a level not seen since the dot-com bubble popped in 2000. Those raging Treasury yields brought pain to investors and also increased how much American companies had to pay to service their debts. In fact, Wall Street is struggling to figure out what it means for the timing and scale of future rate cuts.

Persons: ”, Michael Hartnett, Gina Bolvin, “ We’re, Phillip Wool, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Ellen Zentner Organizations: New, New York CNN, New York Federal, Treasury, Dow, Bank of America, Bolvin Wealth Management, Mortgage News, Mortgage, Association, Financial, Consumer, Federal Reserve, Goldman, Fed, UBS, Airlines for America, AAA Locations: New York

☆ US stocks trade mixed as bond yields spike after hot retail sales data
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Stocks traded mixed on Tuesday as bond yields surged after a blowout retail sales report. Retail sales jumped 0.7% in September from the prior month, more than double forecasts. AdvertisementAdvertisementUS stocks finished mixed on Tuesday as investors took in higher Treasury yields and a hotter-than-expected retail sales report. Retail sales rose 0.7% through the month of September, blowing past economists' expectations for a 0.3% monthly gain. "Retail sales showed a big upside surprise today, to the Fed's dismay," Bolvin Wealth Management Group president Gina Bolvin said in a note on Tuesday.

Persons: Stocks, —, Gina Bolvin Organizations: Retail, Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Wealth Management, Dow Jones, Nasdaq

☆ Analysts react to Federal Reserve leaving interest rates unchanged
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

Fed policymakers at the median still see the central bank's benchmark overnight interest rate peaking this year in the 5.50%-5.75% range, just a quarter of a percentage point above the current range. I do think that they'll remain data dependent and you'll probably hear that from Powell at the 2:30 press conference and going forward as well. So yes, they're talking about higher rates for longer, but it's really the economy that matters. This is because when the Fed announces an interest rate increase, credit card interest rates typically follow shortly thereafter, which may result in larger minimum monthly payments for credit card holders. While the decision not to raise interest rates this time round mitigates that for now, more interest rate increases may be on the horizon.

Persons: Jerome Powell, GARRETT MELSON, presser, GINA BOLVIN, Powell, BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, KARL SCHAMOTTA, GENNADIY GOLDBERG, it's, TOM MARTIN, MICHELE RANERI Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Treasury, Fed, PPI, OF, TOM, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: BOSTON, Powell, WISCONSIN, TORONTO, U.S, ATLANTA, CHICAGO

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 7, 2023. The consumer price index (CPI) dropped in the world's second-largest economy, the National Bureau of Statistics said, its first decline since February 2021. Of the 443 S&P 500 companies that have reported results as of Tuesday, 78.6% beat analyst expectations, according to Refinitiv data. Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.18-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.63-to-1 ratio favored decliners. The S&P 500 posted 16 new 52-week highs and 7 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 60 new highs and 178 new lows.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jason Krupa, Patrick Harker, Gina Bolvin, Wells, Penn Entertainment's, Walt Disney's, Uber, Krupa, Echo Wang, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Shounak Dasgupta, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Penn Entertainment, Dow, Nasdaq, Consumer, Index, Lenox Advisors, New York Federal Reserve Bank, Philadelphia Fed, Bolvin Wealth Management Group, Traders, FedWatch, Wall, Nvidia, Apple, National Bureau of Statistics, Dow Jones, Bank of America, Casino, Walt, Walt Disney's ESPN, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Boston, New York, Bengaluru

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July, due on Thursday, is expected to show a slight acceleration from last year. The consumer price index (CPI) dropped in the world's second-largest economy, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday, its first decline since February 2021. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 31.47 points, or 0.70%, to end at 4,467.91 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) lost 162.31 points, or 1.17%, to 13,723.96. Six of the top 11 S&P 500 sectors rose, with energy stocks (.SPNY) leading the gain. Of the 443 S&P 500 companies that have reported results as of Tuesday, 78.6% beat analyst expectations, according to Refinitiv data.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jason Krupa, Patrick Harker, Gina Bolvin, Michelle Bowman, Wells, Penn Entertainment's, Walt Disney's, Uber, Krupa, Echo Wang, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Shounak Dasgupta, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Penn Entertainment, Dow, Nasdaq, Lenox Advisors, New York Federal Reserve Bank, Philadelphia Fed, Bolvin Wealth Management Group, Traders, FedWatch, Wall, Nvidia, Apple, Index, Bank of America, National Bureau of Statistics, Dow Jones, Casino, Walt, Walt Disney's ESPN, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Boston, New York, Bengaluru

☆ Are investors ignoring the Federal Reserve’s warning?
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-25 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

CNN —Stocks fell last week as several signs pointed to the Federal Reserve continuing to hike rates this year. The Cboe Volatility Index, known as the VIX, is derived from S&P 500 index options prices and measures volatility expectations. Meanwhile, the May Producer Price Index showed that inflation at the wholesale level cooled to below its pre-pandemic average. Tuesday: Case-Shiller home price index and new home sales. Friday: May Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index and University of Michigan June consumer sentiment and inflation expectations final reading.

Persons: CNN — Stocks, Jerome Powell, BoE, Tom Graff, Price, ”, Graff, it’s, Liz Young, Gina Bolvin, Bitcoin, Charles Schwab Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal, Bank of England, Nvidia, Microsoft, Bolvin Wealth Management, “, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, BlackRock, EDX, Fidelity Digital Assets, Citadel, Index, University of Michigan

☆ US dollar gains as inflation data backs Fed rate hike; yen sinks
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar index, a measure of the greenback's value against six major currencies, rose 0.1% to 101.54 . Friday's data showed the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index edged 0.1% higher in March after rising 0.3% in February. In the 12 months through March, the PCE price index increased 4.2% after climbing 5.1% in February. The so-called core PCE price index gained 4.6% on a year-on-year basis in March after rising 4.7% in February. Following the inflation data, the rate futures market has priced in a 90% chance of a 25 basis-point hike next week.

☆ Markets next week have to contend with how aggressive the Fed drumbeat sounds
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

"Is Chairman Powell going to say, 'It is likely that we pause now and assess what the economy is going to do?' "The tone on that balance is going to be very critical to how the market is going to move next week." "What is [Powell] going to do? June Fed meeting The betting on Wall Street right now is that, after next week, the Fed will standpat at its next meeting six weeks later, on June 13-14. Beyond Apple, some 161 other companies in the S & P 500 index are scheduled to report latest-quarter results next week.

☆ As earnings season begins, S&P 500 forecast looks less weak
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

That compares with their week-ago forecast for a 5.2% year-over-year decline in the quarter. S&P 500 earnings fell 3.2% year-over-year in the fourth quarter of 2022, based on Refinitiv data, which means the first quarter still would mark a second straight quarterly decline in U.S. earnings, or a profit recession. Investors have been eagerly awaiting quarterly results from banks following the collapse of two U.S. regional banks in March. A slew of other regional banks are still due to report in the coming weeks, including Zions Bancorp (ZION.O) on Wednesday. Quarterly results are also expected next week from Goldman Sachs Group (GS.N) and Netflix (NFLX.O).

☆ Bonds are back this year after one of their worst stretches ever
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Bonds are rebounding in 2023 following one of their worst years ever as the asset class reclaims its function as an effective hedge for stocks. "Bonds are acting like bonds again," said Gina Bolvin, president of Bolvin Wealth Management Group. What's more, because bonds tend to rally during a recession as benchmark rates decline, Devereux said she recommends focusing on high-quality fixed income including U.S. Treasurys, agency mortgage-backed securities and municipal bonds. Within fixed income, she also recommended investors stick to bonds with AAA or AA ratings, saying investors should look for risk in equities rather than lower-rated bonds. "While returns for stocks and bonds have been positive so far this year, that stocks and bonds are largely performing well at different times has made the ride smoother for investors," Bolvin said.

☆ The 60/40 portfolio: Why one wealth manager thinks the strategy is coming back and her tips for using it
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Gina Bolvin thinks the 60/40 portfolio will make a comeback in 2023. But the Bolvin Wealth Management Group president has some specific tips for investors considering the strategy after a down year. That will help the 60/40 portfolio once again perform an effective investing strategy, she said. "I'm fascinated that after one horrible year, I've seen advisors are saying the 60/40 portfolio is dead. "The 60/40 portfolio has a good long term track record, so one year isn't a trend."

☆ Bolvin: A market rally may coincide with earnings season this quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBolvin: A market rally may coincide with earnings season this quarterGina Bolvin, President of Bolvin Wealth Management, joins Worldwide Exchange to discuss the markets and earnings season.

☆ The Fed just made its last rate hike of the year. Here's what it means and what happens next.
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-15 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Fed Chair Powell took an aggressive stance at the podium Wednesday, effectively saying the central bank isn't done hiking rates. The Fed signaled it won't be taking its foot off the gas anytime soon with policy, but markets of late have been acting like a so-called Fed pivot is all but guaranteed. "Powell's very hawkish comments didn't get a very hawkish reaction from the market," Wright maintained. But the more the market ignores the Fed, the longer the Fed will have to keep monetary policy restrictive, which ultimately raises the odds of a recession. "We're likely to see head-fakes like this where the market looks for a Fed pivot," one strategist said.

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